Kalshi's June esports data shows a $231.8M market dominated by Counter-Strike

Kalshi’s June esports information reveals a $231.8M market dominated by Counter-Strike

July 4, 2026


Kalshi’s esports markets traded $231.8 million throughout 4.05 million particular person trades in June 2026, unfold throughout 28 distinct sequence protecting seven titles. With the hazard of sounding like I’m flogging a lifeless horse, the $231.8 million traded doesn’t equal complete cash risked, such is the character of prediction markets.

The extra fascinating one is that this: 57% of it, $132.1 million, was a small cluster of Counter-Strike 2 markets, and an excellent chunk of that ran via one week in the course of the month, when IEM Cologne was stay. I beforehand broke down IEM Cologne’s Kalshi information right here.

Kalshi Esports · June 2026

The month in 4 numbers

Whole Contracts

231.80M

231,796,650

Whole Trades

4.05M

4,047,758 fills

Energetic Collection

28

distinct esports markets

Days Tracked

30

2026-06-01 → 2026-06-30

CS2 completely dominates June

There’s a transparent market chief in what persons are buying and selling in June, and the reply’s clearly Counter-Strike. 59% of each esports contract traded on Kalshi in June 2026 was on Counter-Strike 2. This was virtually fully single-match betting (made up of recreation winner, map winner and total-maps markets), plus a small slice on the tournament-outright market.

No different title cracked 12% of the month’s quantity, and the sheer dominance was significantly pronounced at IEM Cologne within the third week.

Prime Collection — Full Month

2026-06-01 → 2026-06-30 · ranked by contracts traded · CS2’s recreation/map/total-maps/qualifier markets mixed into one “Single-Match Betting” line; CS2 Event Winner (the outright futures market) stays separate

#

Collection

Contracts

Trades

% Mo.

01

CS2 Single-Match Betting

CS2

132.13M

2.12M

57.0%

02

League of Legends Sport

League of Legends

26.80M

353.1K

11.6%

03

Valorant recreation winner

Valorant

20.14M

429.2K

8.7%

04

League of Legends Map Winner

League of Legends

12.65M

201.3K

5.5%

06

Name of Obligation Video games

Name of Obligation

7.28M

180.1K

3.1%

07

Valorant Map Winner

Valorant

5.91M

121.5K

2.5%

09

CS2 Event Winner

CS2

3.51M

30.8K

1.5%

11

COD Map Winner

Name of Obligation

2.12M

54.0K

0.9%

12

League of Legends Whole Maps

League of Legends

1.74M

42.8K

0.8%

League of Legends Sport Winner was a distant second at 11.6% of the month ($26.8 million), with Valorant’s game-winner market shut behind at 8.7% ($20.1 million). Between them, CS2’s single-match betting, LoL’s recreation market and Valorant’s recreation market accounted for 77% of all the pieces traded on Kalshi’s esports board in June. It goes to point out that when there’s a significant Counter-Strike occasion on, it swallows the competitors. Whether or not or not that adjustments in July with LoL’s MSI happening stays to be seen.

Share of Month-to-month Contract Quantity, by Sport

What “57%” is definitely fabricated from

It’s value breaking such a considerable quantity down. CS2, broadly talking, isn’t only one market on Kalshi. It may be cut up into 5. These are whether or not a group wins the match; whether or not it wins a given map; whether or not the match goes over or below a total-maps line; whether or not a group qualifies for the subsequent stage of a event; and, individually, who wins the entire occasion outright. Practically four-fifths of CS2’s whole month-to-month quantity, $103.8 million, sat within the single “who wins the match” market alone. Map winner markets added one other 20% ($26.9 million).

Inside CS2’s 135.65M Contracts

how CS2’s personal quantity splits throughout its 5 markets

Single-Match Betting vs. Event Outright

Single-Match Betting
Event Winner (outright)

Inside Single-Match Betting

The IEM Cologne impact, at a extra granular degree

The event comfortably produced just about the entire high ten largest markets, and stealing a desk I made for the IEM Cologne evaluation, the match-level wagering usually adopted the event development.

Falcons have been concerned within the high three traded markets. This could merely be defined by the magnitude of the eventual winners’ contests with the 2 groups tipped to win all of it pre-tournament in Staff Spirit and Staff Vitality.

Match quantity

Prime 15 Matches — All Phases

Ranked by mixed market quantity (either side)

Jun 2–21, 2026

1Falcons vs FURIAGrand Last$3.64M
2Spirit vs FalconsPlayoff SF$3.45M
3Vitality vs FalconsPlayoff QF$3.30M
4G2 vs Natus VincereStage 3$2.62M
5Spirit vs G2 EsportsPlayoff QF$2.44M
69z vs SpiritStage 3$2.56M
7Falcons vs Natus VincereStage 3$2.07M
89z vs FURIAPlayoff QF$1.94M
9G2 vs FalconsStage 3$1.71M
10BIG vs NRGStage 1$1.44M
11Spirit vs Aurora GamingStage 3$1.31M
12B8 Esports vs BIGStage 2$1.26M
13BetBoom vs FalconsStage 3$1.16M
14GamerLegion vs B8 EsportsStage 2$1.05M
159z vs VitalityStage 3$1.02M

League of Legends could possibly be set for an enormous MSI

One match would break into the highest ten, sitting simply above 9z vs FURIA exterior of Counter-Strike and that match was T1 vs Gen.G which noticed $1.97 million traded. There’s not been an terrible lot of League of Legends motion of late with MSI play-ins simply ending up (and my god, did T1 look sturdy). The Korean World Champions didn’t drop a single map as they swept their strategy to the primary stage at MSI. As we transfer into July, it’ll be fascinating to see if having an enormous international League of Legends occasion takes a few of Counter-Strike’s thunder. On condition that the variety of fixtures is considerably decrease, MSI might not attain Cologne’s complete seismic quantity,however I’d count on there to be some heavy-hitters on match quantity alone.

Editor’s methodology word: Figures cowl Kalshi esports markets from 2026-06-01 → 2026-06-30. “Contracts” refers to complete contract quantity traded on a market; “trades” refers back to the variety of particular person fills. Weekly blocks run Sunday–Saturday from June 1; Week 5 is a two-day tail (June 29–30) and shouldn’t be in contrast on to full seven-day weeks. CS2’s recreation winner, map winner, total-maps and qualifier markets are mixed into one “Single-Match Betting” line all through, since they’re all bets on the identical underlying matches; the separate CS2 Event Winner market (an outright futures decide) is stored by itself line. Particular person-match figures mix either side of a match (e.g. “will A win” and “will B win”) into one market-size complete; the place just one aspect’s quantity was obtainable, the determine is flagged and displays that aspect alone. Figures are sourced from Kalshi’s public market information.

Steven is a passionate sports enthusiast and writer who enjoys sharing insights, stories, and analysis from the world of football and beyond. With a keen eye for detail and a love for the game, he brings readers closer to the action while keeping them informed and entertained.